Twelve Treasures
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 103
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |