1
Woodline
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 93
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |