3
Christ Is King
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |