4
Farooq
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |