14
Pujol
6yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |