7
Quamash
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/06/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 10/11 | 95% | 44% | -0.51 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |