The Magic Speed
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |