9
Tyrus
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |