4
Cockeyed
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-02-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 07/12/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/01/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |