6
Eastbostonbenny
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |