3

Trust Fund
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |