3

Trust Fund

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 94 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 94 par17/10C5OR 94C5 @ Aqueduct 13/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 6f 122 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Aqueduct 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 97 · 6f 123 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 97 par17/01C6OR 97C7 @ Aqueduct 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 94 · 6f 123 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 94 parC7 @ Aqueduct 07/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 7f 121 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 90 par7/03C7OR 90C5 @ Aqueduct 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 84 parC6 @ Aqueduct 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 85 · 7f Slo 126 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 85 par25/04C6OR 85C5 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 89 · 6f110y 126 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f110y 126 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 85 par10/07C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Saratoga?5th6th1
2026-06-06Saratoga?11th11th0
2026-04-25Aqueduct?7th8th1
2026-04-04Aqueduct?4th4th0
2026-03-07Aqueduct?1st3rd2
2026-02-12Aqueduct?5th7th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1012/0225/0410/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20253rd2/189%33%-0.56
13/12/20253rd6/168%67%-0.02
17/01/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
12/02/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
07/03/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
04/04/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
25/04/20267th5/174%33%-0.40
06/06/202611th100/10%17%+0.17
10/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14