Gallant Lad
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |