Grey Bull
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |