Orange Road
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |