IvyArcIvyArc
5

They Call Me Sue

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 67 par10/12C9OR 67C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 31/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 70 · 6f 119 · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 70 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 66 par31/01C9OR 66C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 7f 119 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 69 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 70 par4/03C9OR 70C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 74 · 7f 119 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 74 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 63 · 6f110y 119 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 63 par18/04C9OR 63C9 @ Monmouth Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 68 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 70 par11/07C9OR 70projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Monmouth Park?1st2nd−1
2026-05-31Monmouth Park?6th7th−1
2026-04-18Tampa Bay Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-18Tampa Bay Downs?6th7th−1
2026-03-04Tampa Bay Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-02-15Tampa Bay Downs?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1215/0218/0411/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20252nd10/147%80%+0.33
31/12/20253rd12/137%80%+0.43
31/01/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
15/02/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
04/03/20262nd2/189%83%-0.06
18/03/20266th9/488%29%-0.60
18/04/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07
31/05/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
11/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16