9
Allegresse
3yo Filly · 8-8
Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |