IvyArcIvyArc
10

Born To Sun

3yo Filly · 8-8

Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y

#11

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 22/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12822/11C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12331/03C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1207/05C5C5 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1236/08C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Deauville?10th10th0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp?9th9th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau?11th11th0
2025-11-22Fontainebleau?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1131/037/056/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength31%

Delivery trend +13.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20259th11/142%11%-0.31
31/03/202611th80/10%0%0.00
07/05/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
06/08/202610th66/10%10%+0.10