IvyArcIvyArc
12

Caspienne

3yo Filly · 8-8

Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1282/12C5C5 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12813/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/08C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12329/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?3rd3rd0
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?9th9th0
2026-06-20Compiegne?4th4th0
2025-12-02Deauville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1220/0613/077/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20258th7/163%50%-0.13
20/06/20264th22/10%70%+0.70
13/07/20269th12/137%33%-0.04
07/08/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
29/08/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01