3

Delire D'amour

3yo Filly · 8-12

Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y

#3

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 05/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1295/12C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 12920/01C5C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 127C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1285/03C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 130C0 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12812/04C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 132C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13023/05C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly?13th13th0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly?9th9th0
2026-04-12ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-03-05Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-02-22Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1222/0212/0423/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20255th4/179%64%-0.15
15/01/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
20/01/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
22/02/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
05/03/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
24/03/20263rd28/10%85%+0.85
12/04/202611th20/10%29%+0.29
29/04/20269th18/15%33%+0.28
23/05/202613th25/10%0%0.00