11

Ironwood

3yo Filly · 8-8

Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 03/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1283/03C5C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12420/03C5projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-20Le Croise-Laroche?8th8th0
2026-03-03Chantilly?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0320/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -12.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
20/03/20268th33/10%0%0.00