IvyArcIvyArc
1

Monarco

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Dieppe · Prix De Bondues Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y

#7

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 16/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12816/03C5C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 128C5 @ Cholet 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f156y GS 12830/06C5C5 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 123C5 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1276/08C5C5 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Std 130C0 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Std 13920/08C?C5 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1304/09C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly?8th8th0
2026-08-20Deauville?12th12th0
2026-08-11Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-06Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-20Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-30Cholet?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0320/0720/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/202611th40/10%17%+0.17
08/06/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
30/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
20/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
06/08/20265th15/261%56%-0.05
11/08/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
20/08/202612th5/287%0%-0.87
04/09/20268th14/126%22%-0.04