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7yo Gelding · 9-5
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/12/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/12/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.17 |