6
Bow Lane
6yo Gelding · 8-13
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/05/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/10/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/10/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |