4
Gardol Moon
7yo Mare · 8-13
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 19/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 24/09/2025 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 8% | -0.34 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |