1
Katana Des Rocs
4yo Filly · 9-6
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |