13
Rosa Trezy
5yo Filly · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Moulins | ? | −4 | ||
| 2024-08-16 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/04/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 04/05/2024 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 06/08/2024 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2024 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/04/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |