12
Whizalio
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix De Pornichet Handicap · 1m 208y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/03/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |