15
Bob La Bidouille
7yo Gelding · 8-9
Dieppe · Prix Du Touquet Handicap · 1m 208y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |