5
Felicia Storm
4yo Filly · 9-7
Dieppe · Prix Du Touquet Handicap · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength11%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 25/04/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 24/07/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 17/08/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 11/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |