1
Portreath
6yo Gelding · 10-5
Dieppe · Prix Du Touquet Handicap · 1m 208y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 13.1 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-06-16 | Chantilly | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 17th | 18th | −1 |
| 2024-04-02 | Fontainebleau | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2023 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 13/10/2023 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 62% | -0.21 |
| 15/03/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2024 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/04/2024 | 17th | 40/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 16/06/2024 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 14/04/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/05/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |