11
Senechale
4yo Filly · 8-12
Dieppe · Prix Du Touquet Handicap · 1m 208y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 14-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 24/01/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 05/06/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 19/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 07/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |