13
Sunrise Dream
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Dieppe · Prix Du Touquet Handicap · 1m 208y
#12
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 22/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/03/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 03/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 23/06/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |