8
Etoile D Armor
2yo Filly · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix D'amiens Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |