4

Havanista

2yo Filly · 8-11

Dieppe · Prix D'amiens Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12812/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1242/08C5C5 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12028/08C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Moulins?3rd3rd0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers?6th6th0
2026-07-12Deauville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/072/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend +13.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
02/08/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
28/08/20263rd7/491%75%-0.16