5
Sacree Philomene
2yo Filly · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix D'amiens Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength68%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |