11

Baileys Hip Hop

3yo Gelding · 8-5

Dieppe · Prix De Cysoing Handicap · 5f 102y

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12830/01C5C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12820/03C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12322/05C?C0 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f102y GS 12123/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12910/08C?4 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 11830/084projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville44th4th0
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?13th13th0
2026-06-23Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-03-20Le Mans?8th8th0
2026-01-30Deauville?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0120/0322/0523/0610/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
20/03/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
22/05/20269th25/10%38%+0.38
23/06/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
10/08/202613th20/10%0%0.00
30/08/20264th50/10%73%+0.73