10
Niouininon
3yo Gelding · 8-8
Dieppe · Prix De Cysoing Handicap · 5f 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/06/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |