1
Roman Boy
3yo Colt · 9-6
Dieppe · Prix De Cysoing Handicap · 5f 102y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |