8
Blu Metal Jacket
7yo Horse · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix WWW.Croise-Laroche.FR Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 24/06/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 03/08/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |