7

Coolmeen Royal

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 72

Dieppe · Prix WWW.Croise-Laroche.FR Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS17/0333 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Marseille-borely 27/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS27/043C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1223 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 72 · 5f212y Sft 152 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 72 par31/053OR 723 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 72 · 5f212y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 72 parC0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12813/07C?4 @ Vichy 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 1343 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 121 · HIGHER CLASS22/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Deauville314th13th+1
2026-08-12Vichy45th5th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?9th9th0
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud311th10th+1
2026-05-31Chantilly37th6th+1
2026-05-12Chantilly?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0312/0513/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
14/04/20268th9/153%53%+0.01
27/04/202610th8/158%10%-0.48
12/05/202614th16/116%13%-0.02
31/05/20267th18/15%50%+0.45
12/06/202611th25/10%17%+0.17
13/07/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
12/08/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
22/08/202614th20/10%13%+0.13