Pradaro
11yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 102
Dieppe · Prix WWW.Croise-Laroche.FR Claiming Stakes · 5f 102y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |