4
Mounela
2yo Filly · 8-11
Dieppe · Prix De Lille Claiming Stakes · 1m 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |