12

Daryoza

3yo Filly · 8-7

Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12713/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 117C0 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1241/05C?C5 @ Evreux 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y GS 120C5 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12013/06C5C0 @ Deauville 27/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 120C0 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 11819/07C?C5 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 128C0 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 11228/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?1st1st0
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?8th8th0
2026-07-19Chantilly?12th12th0
2026-06-27Deauville?10th10th0
2026-06-13Compiegne?7th7th0
2026-05-26Evreux?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0326/0519/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/202613th100/10%20%+0.20
31/03/20267th150/10%40%+0.40
01/05/202613th25/10%14%+0.14
26/05/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
13/06/20267th22/10%45%+0.45
27/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
19/07/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
10/08/20268th66/10%22%+0.22
28/08/20261st28/10%100%+1.00