2

Fanzi Chop

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12822/04C5C8 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12812/05C8C5 @ ParisLongchamp 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1307/06C5C5 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13013/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 1323/07C?C0 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13116/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 13228/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?3rd3rd0
2026-07-16Compiegne?10th10th0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2026-06-13Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-06-07ParisLongchamp?9th9th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0413/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
12/05/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
07/06/20269th9/153%11%-0.42
13/06/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
03/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
16/07/202610th11/142%31%-0.11
28/08/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20