2

Fanzi Chop
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |