10

Grandala

3yo Filly · 8-13

Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y

#12

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12027/12C5C5 @ Chantilly 31/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 120C5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1275/03C5C0 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 127C0 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1251/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 125C0 @ Deauville 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12527/06C?C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 125C0 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12527/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Deauville?9th9th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?4th4th0
2026-06-27Deauville?9th9th0
2026-06-05Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-05-01Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-04-08Deauville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/128/0427/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20259th33/10%50%+0.50
31/01/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
05/03/20265th50/10%56%+0.56
08/04/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
01/05/20269th7/163%43%-0.20
05/06/20265th8/158%73%+0.15
27/06/20269th7/282%27%-0.54
13/07/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
27/08/20269th28/10%38%+0.38