9

Guns And Roses

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 03/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f102y GS 1273/05C5C5 @ Evreux 27/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 131C5 @ Nantes 17/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 13117/06C5C5 @ Nantes 03/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 132C0 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13622/05C?C5 @ ParisLongchamp 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 120C5 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1238/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 130C0 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12824/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Vichy?10th10th0
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?10th10th0
2026-06-08Toulouse?7th7th0
2026-05-28ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?10th10th0
2025-07-03Nantes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/053/078/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
27/05/20253rd15/890%80%-0.10
17/06/20254th10/1195%63%-0.33
03/07/20253rd6/492%60%-0.32
22/05/202610th25/10%31%+0.31
28/05/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
08/06/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
06/07/202610th20/10%25%+0.25
24/07/202610th20/10%25%+0.25