6
Sparks Of Love
3yo Filly · 9-2
Dieppe · Prix De Pau Handicap · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |