Movin Out
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 57
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -19.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |