1
Bigtimejustice
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 53
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -17.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |