2

J's Alley Cat
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 42
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |