2

J's Alley Cat

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 42

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 11915/07C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 61 · 5f Fas 119 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 61 par11/08C6OR 61C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 51 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 51 par1/09C6OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-07-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0711/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -40.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
11/08/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
01/09/20265th11/271%33%-0.38